Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 306.009537 347.887373 394.995099 452.222539 520.280053 599.146599 698.208041
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 236.973730 288.768340 352.466476 437.715947 550.597473 697.532735 907.666850
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 199.856118 254.272114 325.071121 426.002582 569.707982 772.669279 1091.954816
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 182.030477 240.161214 319.512258 439.048469 620.678955 897.282734 1374.047008
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 165.329684 224.569572 308.637919 441.180580 653.948606 999.872159 1647.105998
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 149.197817 207.470215 292.819253 432.542909 667.466861 1071.572876 1884.880120
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 138.194561 196.431665 284.303753 433.425538 695.691436 1172.812513 2207.375363
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 126.599743 183.200560 270.715233 423.741702 703.307648 1237.049602 2473.368823
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 118.177323 174.001248 262.391839 421.573840 723.650319 1329.403601 2832.706291
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 107.425738 160.149898 245.076683 401.341117 706.312023 1340.807360 3001.030870
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 104.748931 159.062038 248.811558 419.374339 766.789657 1532.097541 3710.827398
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 103.214131 159.661204 255.379554 443.413700 843.862891 1781.359409 4710.255021
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 97.838300 153.485506 249.725952 443.679767 871.394649 1922.626283 5468.730675
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 91.037493 144.364632 238.005244 430.509658 866.842966 1981.808874 5987.651679
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 85.144115 136.395352 227.691830 418.961794 864.086154 2045.490787 6565.822379
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 82.898939 134.718883 228.931712 431.742185 922.153822 2298.792533 8096.090636
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 79.534914 130.757314 225.436882 433.829245 953.996547 2484.987159 9496.028712
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 75.258412 124.824974 217.612318 425.371811 956.968061 2581.451700 10547.147606
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 72.344159 121.225986 214.089475 426.236066 985.198357 2772.080413 12306.959417
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 68.584649 115.797959 206.475634 416.753272 983.148764 2857.248329 13544.608197
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 65.837191 112.130658 202.169312 414.630257 1001.904875 3026.344467 15548.221780
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 61.592433 105.350684 190.988459 394.813231 965.531360 2973.969703 15928.988109
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 61.094438 105.809990 194.925154 412.476197 1045.444468 3416.316503 20845.568037